Precursor Role of Winter Sea-Ice in the Labrador Sea for Following-Spring Precipitation over Southeastern North America and Western Europe

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摘要 Theroleofwintersea-iceintheLabradorSeaasaprecursorforprecipitationanomaliesoversoutheasternNorthAmericaandWesternEuropeinthefollowingspringisinvestigated.Ingeneralterms,astheseaiceincreases,theprecipitationalsoincreases.Inmoredetail,however,analysesindicatethatboththewintersea-iceandtheseasurfacetemperature(SST)anomaliesrelatedtoincreasesinwintersea-iceintheLabradorSeacanpersistintothefollowingspring.Thesefeaturesplayaforcingroleinthespringatmosphere,whichmaybethephysicalmechanismbehindtheobservationalrelationshipbetweenthewintersea-iceandspringprecipitationanomalies.TheoceanicforcingsinspringincludeArcticsea-iceanomaliesandSSTanomaliesinthetropicalPacificandhigh-latitudeNorthAtlantic.Multi-modelCoupledModelIntercomparisonProjectPhase5andAtmosphericModelIntercomparisonProjectsimulationresultsshowthattheatmosphericcirculationresponsetothecombinationofsea-iceandSSTissimilartothatobserved,whichsuggeststhattheoceanicforcingsareindeedthephysicalreasonfortheenhancedspringprecipitation.SensitivityexperimentsconductedusinganatmosphericgeneralcirculationmodelindicatethattheincreasesinprecipitationoversoutheasternNorthAmericaaremainlyattributabletotheeffectoftheSSTanomalies,whiletheincreasesoverWesternEuropearemainlyduetothesea-iceanomalies.AlthoughmodelsimulationsrevealthattheSSTanomaliesplaytheprimaryroleintheprecipitationanomaliesoversoutheasternNorthAmerica,theobservationalstatisticalanalysesindicatethattheareaofsea-iceintheLabradorSeaseemstobetheprecursorthatbestpredictsthespringprecipitationanomaly.
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出版日期 2018年01月11日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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